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Selasa, 28 Januari 2014

HSBC Bermasalah - Penyimpan Tidak Boleh Keluarkan Wang Mereka?


Ada sebaran berita yang lagi menakutkan dari isu pergolakkan PKR Selangor beb. Kepada penyimpan2 wang di HSBC elokla korang take note berita neh dan cuba dapatkan penjelasan penuh dari pihak bank sendiri. Kalau boleh, terai keluarkan duit korang di HSBC. Boleh ke tak boleh? Kalau tak boleh, memang sah la tue HSBC bermasalah.

Menerusi satu artikel yang disebarkan di laman ini ==>

Dan sini juga ==>

Baca ;

Fears are growing that HSBC bank is insolvent, after the Bank refused cash withdrawals and has an $80bn blackhole in their balance sheet.  Last night,Forbes and a variety of sources including Max Keiser, and FXstreet(Forex) reported a Bank of China announcement suspending all cash transfers for the next several days.  So what’s really going on?

The Forbes report states:

“The People’s Bank of China , the central bank, has just ordered commercial banks to halt cash transfers.

In short, there will be a three-day suspension of domestic renminbi transfers.  There will also be a suspension, spanning nine calendar days, of conversions of renminbi to foreign currency.

The specific reason given—“system maintenance” at the central bank—is preposterous.  It is not credible that during the highest usage period in the year—the weeklong Lunar New Year holiday beginning January 31—the central bank would schedule an upgrade and shut down cash transfers.

A better explanation is that the country’s banking system is running dry.”

This news comes on top of my report yesterday that HSBC bank looked likely to require a bail-in by customers, or a bail out by the Chinese state in the near future, due to the $80bn shortfall in cash.  With China now on the brink of a currency crisis,  and holder of $1.3trn of US debt, we might want to brace ourselves for a distinctly stormy economic situation, imminently.
Dan, dalam artikel yang sama juga, penulis menyebut laporan tersebut dinafikan oleh Zero Hedge. Apa yang berlaku adalah berbeza dari apa yang disebarkan. China ada masalah kecairan yang terbukti (mungkin merujuk kepada aliran wang tunai). Namun penulis tetap menegaskan bahawa penyimpan2 wang di HSBC perlu berada dalam mode berjaga2.
Baca ;
However, this morning, Zero Hedge challenged the Forbes report in the most stern of terms, writing:

Anyway, here is what really happened, as reported by China Compass. “Forbes columnist Gordon Chang claimed in a much-quoted item today that the Peoples Bank of China had instructed commercial banks to halt cash transfers. Chang’s column, entitled “China Halts Bank Transfers,” specifically refers to Citibank’s Chinese branches. The report is entirely misleading.Our advice – focus on the real “weakest links” in China’s banking system, of which there are many and are backed by facts, not the least of which is the potential upcoming shadow banking default. Ignore groundless rumors and speculation.
The Zero Hedge report is all the more concerned about the apparently erroneous report as China’s genuine liquidity issues mean we do need to be alert to the potential of the Chinese banking system drying up, and the criticality of the results.

All that said, China certainly has all too real liquidity (and solvency) problems – none of which have anything to do with a suicidal act by the PBOC – as explained here extensively in the prior weeks and months, captured best by the fact that both China’s and HSBC’s CDS are both at multi-month highs.
Our advice remains the same as yesterday, view HSBC with caution and remain prepared for a liquidity crisis within the Bank and/or China in the not too distant future – be smart investors, and customers.

Aku ada banyak telahan dalam perkara2 begini. Kadang2 spekulasi sengaja diwujudkan untuk huru hara kan keadaan. Akan ada pihak2 yang mengambil kesempatan dalam keadaan huru hara neh beb. Selalu begitulah. Pada sesetengah orang, ia merupakan peluang bila ada pihak lain dilanda masalah.

Akan tetap tak bermaksud pula laporan spekulasi di atas neh boleh dinafikan begitu saja. Elok juga korang berjaga2. Apa2 pun dapatkan pengesahan dan penjelasan lanjut dari pihak HSBC sendiri.

Oke bai.

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